Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
9 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 25 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 12 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 11 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Storm Warning issued September 25 at 4:13AM EDT until September 26 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Urban PEI: 3,474,089 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 6, 2026 · 2.6 km
- September 2, 2026 · 7.9 km
- March 17, 2026 · 7.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 39.7429, -74.9286 |
| Nearest City | Sicklerville (4 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 3.5M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-25T22:00:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.4000b7477a8850ac1a96dda41f7de87ba2913fa6.005.2 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-25T22:00:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-25T08:19:59.525Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-09-25T09:41:46.559Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T09:36:24.832Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T09:31:02.373Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T09:25:40.207Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T09:20:16.407Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T09:14:02.817Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T09:03:22.757Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T08:57:54.128Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T08:47:09.745Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
2026-09-25T08:30:57.112Z · data_change
Index 46 → 46; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Storm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Waters from Fenwick Island DE to Chintoteague VA from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Chincoteague VA to Parramore Island VA from 20 to 60 NM; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM; Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM; Waters from Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 to 60 NM and 4 more areas |
| Headline | Storm Warning issued September 25 at 4:13AM EDT until September 26 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-09-25T12:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 7 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4000b7477a8850ac1a96dda41f7de87ba2913fa6.005.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c8afe447d736bf28d9ed203c063fa4d5710d2019.002.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c8afe447d736bf28d9ed203c063fa4d5710d2019.003.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cf5a07f0f4777766e99ddf4342f633e87cc05b56.002.3","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cf5a07f0f4777766e99ddf4342f633e87cc05b56.005.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cf5a07f0f4777766e99ddf4342f633e87cc05b56.003.3","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cf5a07f0f4777766e99ddf4342f633e87cc05b56.006.2"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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